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Planning Theory, Vol. 1, No. 2, 146-162 (2002)
DOI: 10.1177/147309520200100204
© 2002 SAGE Publications

Using Probit Models in Planning Theory: An Illustration

Lawrence W.C. Lai

University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China, wclai{at}hkusua.hku.hk

Winky K.O. Ho

University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China

As a contribution to the theorization of the planning process, this article gives a brief account of the probit model and its applications to Hong Kong; a review of the literature on the use of development control data in planning research; advances the argument for the use of statistical methods that do not operate on aggregate sampling data; and demonstrates the applicability of the probit model in development control studies. Possible applications discussed are the identification of factors for predicting success in planning applications, measurement of zone separation, assessment of the effectiveness of the planning system in tackling externalities, verification of economic theories of the behaviour of planning authorities and evaluation of public participation.

Key Words: development control • non-aggregate planning statistics • probit modelling


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